Lifting Ontario’s lockdown measures may very well be impacted by the brand new COVID-19 variants, the chief medical officer of well being mentioned on Friday.
Dr. David Williams initially mentioned on January 19 that lockdown measures may very well be lifted as soon as day by day instances are fewer than 1,000.
Nonetheless, the COVID-19 UK variant is 56% extra transmissible and has probably worse morbidity and mortality charges, and with 51 UK variants now detected in Ontario, the earlier framework for lifting the measures could not apply.
“The 1,000 a day was primarily based on the hospital and ICU admission charges below the common COVID-19 pressure. Nonetheless, new information from the UK — they’ve loads [of cases] proper now — is attempting to grasp, are the hospitalization charges greater? The ICU fee greater?”
Williams added that the brand new information appears to point there is a rise, and that whereas initially it wasn’t believed the brand new pressure brought on extra morbidity or mortality, “they’re now altering that.”
“We have to take that into consideration and see if the admission fee with the brand new pressure, which may grow to be the dominant pressure by March, places extra stress on our intensive care items,” Williams mentioned.
He additionally talked about that ICU mattress occupancy must be “properly beneath 200, if we are able to.” Proper now it’s round 400 in Ontario.
On Thursday, well being officers launched up to date COVID-19 modelling information that confirmed instances are declining however that the UK variant is posing a “vital menace.”
It will likely be the dominant pressure come March, with officers saying the vaccine might be efficient towards it.
There are actually 51 confirmed instances of the UK COVID-19 variant in Ontario. The fast-spreading virus mutation was first detected in a pair from Durham Area.
Up to now, Ontario has seen 264,300 COVID-19 instances and 6,072 virus-related deaths.